MONSTERDRAFT
2026 · Wk 10

Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos

BUF7-1
7-2DEN
@
Friday 2026-12-25 · 16:30 ET·Empower Field at Mile High·No line yet
Ball:
1010202030304040Coverage identity of DC Vance Joseph: every charted play of defenses he coordinated, '21–'23 (1,840 plays). Why it matters: some receivers beat man, others feast on zone — it decides matchups for DFS, props and best ball alike.MAN 33.8% · ZONE 66.2%DC Vance Joseph · '21–'23 · 1,840 plays99Allen93Jones97Roach49Singleton40Strnad15Bonitto2Surtain9Hufanga34Skinner↑ replacing Jones21Moss29McMillian17Allen4Cook86Kincaid73Dawkins70Anderson66McGovern64Torrence79Brown2Moore10Shakir0Coleman
O: 3WR 1TE — published depth chart · snapshot 2026-11-10D: Base 3-4 D + nickel — published depth chart (lowest-snap LB sits)Ring = offense/defense snap % in last game played · stats thru Wk 9
✚ Brandon Jones (FS) — Out
Field
outdoors · grass
Weather
no forecast yet
Rest
BUF 6d · DEN 5d
Referee
TBA — crews post late in the week
BUF form
7-1PF 256 · PA 187Home 3-1Away 4-0
QB Josh Allen 94–39 as starter · playoffs 8–7 · last 10: 8–2 · since 2018
DEN form
7-2PF 198 · PA 186Home 4-0Away 3-2
QB Bo Nix 31–12 as starter · playoffs 1–1 · last 10: 8–2 · since 2024
BUFSeason efficiencyDEN
0.14Off EPA / play-0.014
47.6Off success %39.1
13.5Off explosive %7
44.63rd-down conv %32.7
-0.01Def EPA / play allowed-0.008
44.2Def success % allowed41.1
QB record = games he actually started (1999–), regular season; playoffs broken outWk 16 best ball playoffs

Coaching Intel

BUF staff
HCJoe BradyOCPete Carmichael1–1 vs JosephDCJim Leonhard
4th-down go 21.7% · PROE -3.4 · no-huddle 4.2%
DEN staff
HCSean PaytonOCDavis WebbDCVance Joseph1–1 vs Carmichael
4th-down go 15.2% · PROE +0.6 · no-huddle 12.4%

Head Coach vs Head Coach

These head coaches have never faced each other (1999–).

BUF offense vs DEN defense

Pete Carmichael(OC)1–1Vance Joseph(DC)dead even2 true OC-vs-DC games — his offense against this coach's defense
Date ▾OffenseDefenseOff–DefOff ydsMarginResult
2022-10-20NOARI34–42495-8L
2019-10-27NOARI31–9512+22W

DEN offense vs BUF defense

Davis Webb(OC)vsJim Leonhard(DC)first career meeting
result and margin read from the offense's side

Franchise Meetings involving a current head coach

Date ▾MatchupScoreWinnerCoaches
2026-01-17BUF @ DEN30–33DENSean McDermott / Sean Payton
2025-01-12DEN @ BUF7–31BUFSean Payton / Sean McDermott
2023-11-13DEN @ BUF24–22DENSean Payton / Sean McDermott
games under departed-on-both-sides staffs are excluded