MONSTERDRAFT
2026 · Wk 10

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots

BUF7-1
5-4NE
@
Sunday 2026-12-06 · 16:25 ET·Gillette Stadium·No line yet
Ball:
1010202030304040Coverage identity of HC Mike Vrabel: every charted play of defenses he led as a head coach, '21–'23 (2,024 plays). Why it matters: some receivers beat man, others feast on zone — it decides matchups for DFS, props and best ball alike.MAN 32.5% · ZONE 67.5%HC Mike Vrabel · '21–'23 · 2,024 plays90Barmore94Durden97Williams91Ponder53Elliss14Spillane7Davis4Woodson31Byard0Gonzalez25Jones17Allen4Cook86Kincaid73Dawkins70Anderson66McGovern64Torrence79Brown2Moore10Shakir0Coleman
O: 3WR 1TE — published depth chart · snapshot 2026-11-10D: Base 3-4 D + nickel — published depth chart (lowest-snap LB sits)Ring = offense/defense snap % in last game played · stats thru Wk 9
Field
outdoors · fieldturf
Weather
no forecast yet
Rest
BUF 10d · NE 7d
Referee
TBA — crews post late in the week
BUF form
7-1PF 256 · PA 187Home 3-1Away 4-0
QB Josh Allen 94–39 as starter · playoffs 8–7 · last 10: 8–2 · since 2018
NE form
5-4PF 211 · PA 207Home 3-1Away 2-3
QB Drake Maye 22–16 as starter · playoffs 3–1 · last 10: 6–4 · since 2024
BUFSeason efficiencyNE
0.14Off EPA / play0.041
47.6Off success %45.5
13.5Off explosive %11.5
44.63rd-down conv %41.5
-0.01Def EPA / play allowed0.043
44.2Def success % allowed43.7
QB record = games he actually started (1999–), regular season; playoffs broken out

Coaching Intel

BUF staff
HCJoe Brady0–1 vs VrabelOCPete Carmichael0–1 vs KuhrDCJim Leonhard0–1 vs McDaniels
4th-down go 21.7% · PROE -3.4 · no-huddle 4.2%
NE staff
HCMike Vrabel1–0 vs BradyOCJosh McDaniels1–0 vs LeonhardDCZak Kuhr1–0 vs Carmichael
4th-down go 19.5% · PROE -1.2 · no-huddle 3.4%

Head Coach vs Head Coach

Joe Brady0–1Mike VrabelVrabel leadsboth as head coaches, any team, 1999–
Date ▾MatchupScoreYardsWinning coach
2026-10-04NE @ BUF29–26409–340Mike Vrabel

BUF offense vs NE defense

Pete Carmichael(OC)0–1Zak Kuhr(DC)Kuhr leads1 true OC-vs-DC game — his offense against this coach's defense
Date ▾OffenseDefenseOff–DefOff ydsMarginResult
2026-10-04BUFNE26–29340-3L

NE offense vs BUF defense

Josh McDaniels(OC)1–0Jim Leonhard(DC)McDaniels leads1 true OC-vs-DC game — his offense against this coach's defense
Date ▾OffenseDefenseOff–DefOff ydsMarginResult
2026-10-04NEBUF29–26409+3W
result and margin read from the offense's side

Franchise Meetings involving a current head coach

Date ▾MatchupScoreWinnerCoaches
2026-10-04NE @ BUF29–26NEMike Vrabel / Joe Brady
2025-12-14BUF @ NE35–31BUFSean McDermott / Mike Vrabel
2025-10-05NE @ BUF23–20NEMike Vrabel / Sean McDermott
games under departed-on-both-sides staffs are excluded