New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills
NE3-2
3-1BUF
@
FINAL · NE 29–26·Sunday 2026-10-04·Highmark Stadium·closed BUF -7 · O/U 49.5
Ball:
O: 3WR 1TE — published depth chart · snapshot 2026-10-12D: Base 3-4 D + nickel — published depth chart (lowest-snap LB sits)Ring = offense/defense snap % in last game played · stats thru Wk 5
✚ Ed Oliver (RDE) — Out
Field
outdoors · grass
Weather
no forecast yet
Rest
NE 7d · BUF 7d
Referee
TBA — crews post late in the week
NE form
3-2PF 110 · PA 94Home 2-0Away 1-2
QB Drake Maye 20–14 as starter · playoffs 3–1 · last 10: 7–3 · since 2024
BUF form
3-1PF 127 · PA 107Home 2-1Away 1-0
QB Josh Allen 90–39 as starter · playoffs 8–7 · last 10: 7–3 · since 2018
| NE | Season efficiency | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 0.046 | Off EPA / play | 0.191 |
| 45.4 | Off success % | 47.7 |
| 11.5 | Off explosive % | 15.3 |
| 38.7 | 3rd-down conv % | 54.5 |
| -0.009 | Def EPA / play allowed | 0.106 |
| 42.1 | Def success % allowed | 48.3 |
QB record = games he actually started (1999–), regular season; playoffs broken out
Coaching Intel
NE staff
HCMike Vrabel1–0 vs BradyOCJosh McDaniels1–0 vs LeonhardDCZak Kuhr1–0 vs Carmichael
4th-down go 19.3% · PROE -1.1 · no-huddle 3.6%
BUF staff
HCJoe Brady0–1 vs VrabelOCPete Carmichael0–1 vs KuhrDCJim Leonhard0–1 vs McDaniels
4th-down go 22.2% · PROE -1.6 · no-huddle 4.3%
Head Coach vs Head Coach
Mike Vrabel1–0Joe BradyVrabel leadsboth as head coaches, any team, 1999–
| Date ▾ | Matchup | Score | Yards | Winning coach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | NE @ BUF | 29–26 | 409–340 | Mike Vrabel |
NE offense vs BUF defense
Josh McDaniels(OC)1–0Jim Leonhard(DC)McDaniels leads1 true OC-vs-DC game — his offense against this coach's defense
| Date ▾ | Offense | Defense | Off–Def | Off yds | Margin | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | NE | BUF | 29–26 | 409 | +3 | W |
BUF offense vs NE defense
Pete Carmichael(OC)0–1Zak Kuhr(DC)Kuhr leads1 true OC-vs-DC game — his offense against this coach's defense
| Date ▾ | Offense | Defense | Off–Def | Off yds | Margin | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | BUF | NE | 26–29 | 340 | -3 | L |
result and margin read from the offense's side
Franchise Meetings involving a current head coach
| Date ▾ | Matchup | Score | Winner | Coaches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | NE @ BUF | 29–26 | NE | Mike Vrabel / Joe Brady |
| 2025-12-14 | BUF @ NE | 35–31 | BUF | Sean McDermott / Mike Vrabel |
| 2025-10-05 | NE @ BUF | 23–20 | NE | Mike Vrabel / Sean McDermott |
games under departed-on-both-sides staffs are excluded