MONSTERDRAFT
2026 · Wk 5

Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans

BUF3-1
1-4HOU
@
FINAL · BUF 36–31·Sunday 2026-09-13·Reliant Stadium·closed HOU +1.5 · O/U 44.5
Ball:
1010202030304040Coverage identity of DC Matt Burke: every charted play of defenses he coordinated, '18–'23 (1,280 plays). Why it matters: some receivers beat man, others feast on zone — it decides matchups for DFS, props and best ball alike.MAN 33.9% · ZONE 66.1%DC Matt Burke · '18–'23 · 1,280 plays51Anderson72Togiai98Rankins55Hunter0Al-Shaair35Hansen24Stingley6Blankenship2Bullock3Lassiter5Pitre17Allen4Cook86Kincaid73Dawkins70Anderson66McGovern64Torrence79Brown2Moore10Shakir0Coleman
O: 3WR 1TE — published depth chart · snapshot 2026-10-12D: Base 4-3 D + nickel — published depth chart (lowest-snap LB sits)Ring = offense/defense snap % in last game played · stats thru Wk 5
Field
closed · astroturf
Weather
indoors — n/a
Rest
BUF 7d · HOU 7d
Referee
Alex Moore · 16.18 flags/gm · 64.7% overs
BUF form
3-1PF 127 · PA 107Home 2-1Away 1-0
QB Josh Allen 90–39 as starter · playoffs 8–7 · last 10: 7–3 · since 2018
HOU form
1-4PF 110 · PA 112Home 0-3Away 1-1
QB C.J. Stroud 29–22 as starter · playoffs 3–3 · last 10: 6–4 · since 2023
BUFSeason efficiencyHOU
0.191Off EPA / play0.005
47.7Off success %42.4
15.3Off explosive %10
54.53rd-down conv %38.5
0.106Def EPA / play allowed-0.043
48.3Def success % allowed39.1
QB record = games he actually started (1999–), regular season; playoffs broken out

Coaching Intel

BUF staff
HCJoe Brady1–0 vs RyansOCPete Carmichael2–1 vs BurkeDCJim Leonhard1–0 vs Caley
4th-down go 22.2% · PROE -1.6 · no-huddle 4.3%
HOU staff
HCDeMeco Ryans0–1 vs BradyOCNick Caley0–1 vs LeonhardDCMatt Burke1–2 vs Carmichael
4th-down go 14.2% · PROE -0.3 · no-huddle 4.7%

Head Coach vs Head Coach

Joe Brady1–0DeMeco RyansBrady leadsboth as head coaches, any team, 1999–
Date ▾MatchupScoreYardsWinning coach
2026-09-13BUF @ HOU36–31410–381Joe Brady

BUF offense vs HOU defense

Pete Carmichael(OC)2–1Matt Burke(DC)Carmichael leads3 true OC-vs-DC games — his offense against this coach's defense
Date ▾OffenseDefenseOff–DefOff ydsMarginResult
2026-09-13BUFHOU36–31410+5W
2023-10-15NOHOU13–20430-7L
2017-10-01NOMIA20–0347+20W

HOU offense vs BUF defense

Nick Caley(OC)0–1Jim Leonhard(DC)Leonhard leads1 true OC-vs-DC game — his offense against this coach's defense
Date ▾OffenseDefenseOff–DefOff ydsMarginResult
2026-09-13HOUBUF31–36381-5L
result and margin read from the offense's side

Franchise Meetings involving a current head coach

Date ▾MatchupScoreWinnerCoaches
2026-09-13BUF @ HOU36–31BUFJoe Brady / DeMeco Ryans
2025-11-20BUF @ HOU19–23HOUSean McDermott / DeMeco Ryans
2024-10-06BUF @ HOU20–23HOUSean McDermott / DeMeco Ryans
games under departed-on-both-sides staffs are excluded