Jul 22 2008
Washington Redskins Offseason Fantasy Report
Overall Fantasy Impact: Average
Offensive Outlook: Whenever a new coach enters the scene, all fantasy bets are off until it becomes clear how that coach prefers his offense to look. With Jim Zorn on board in Washington though, it seems a safe bet that the former gunslinging quarterback will open the offense up in contrast with Joe Gibbs’ conservative run-first approach.
The Redskins draft seemed to point in a more pass-happy direction, as the second round brought two receivers and a tight end as weapons for work-in-progress quarterback Jason Campbell. Whether Campbell can take advantage and how all this new firepower affects Clinton Portis, the offense’s usual focal point, are the two big questions for fantasy owners this season.
QUARTERBACKS: It’s hard to ignore the fact that Washington was 5-7 with Campbell at the helm and 4-0 down the stretch when he went down with an injury and veteran Todd Collins took over. While there may not be a controversy, any owner who takes Campbell should be prepared to feel a little uneasy when he has a rough outing. Add in the fact that he threw just 12 TD passes in 13 games last year, and you’re better off taking him as a back-up and then hoping that Zorn’s new offense brings out the best in him, thereby giving you excellent depth at the position.
Collins is back waiting for his chance. He’d be worth a look as a free agent if he gets on the field.
RUNNING BACKS: Portis is only 26, and it says something about his career that the 1,262 yards he gained last year, good for 6th in the league, was the worst full-season total he’s ever had. His carries are likely to go down this year, but he should be more efficient if defenses are forced to respect the pass more often. Look for around 1,300 yards and double-figures in touchdowns, numbers good enough for No.1 fantasy back status. He should go at the end of the first round or early second at the latest.
Ladell Betts was supposed to share the load last year after1,154 yards in 2006, but it didn’t work out that way, as he garnered more than 10 carries in a game just twice all season long. He’s an excellent fourth back to have though, because he would certainly produce if Portis went down with injury.
WIDE RECEIVER/TIGHT ENDS: The Redskins would love for one of their two second-round receivers, Devin Thomas or Malcolm Kelly, to win a starting job. They both have the size sorely lacking in this group. But the learning curve for rookie recivers is steep in the NFL, so it’s likely that their fantasy impact will be minimal and the Redskins will go with mighty mites Santana Moss and Antwaan Randle El yet again.
Moss hasn’t come close to matching his huge 2005 in the last two seasons. Nagging injuries were a factor last year, but it is interesting that he played his best once Collins took over. After career-lows of 13.2 yards per catch and 3 TDs, Moss could be sneaky good for fantasy owners who take a chance on his return to health and him being a better fit in a more open offense. If you can get him as a third wideout, grab him. Randle El had a career-high last year with 728 yards, but he managed just 1 TD. He’s been overrated in fantasy circles for a long time; consider the fact that he has never managed more than 3 TD receptions in a season. He’s strictly a desperation pick for depth.
Chris Cooley has been good for around 700 yards and 7-8 TDs a year since taking over as tight end in Washington. The guy has amazing hands and a knack for finding the open space in a defense, and even after a year in which he was 5th among tight ends in yards and 3rd in TDs, he’ll likely be rated way below bigger names like Antonio Gates and Tony Gonzalez. Take advantage of this in your draft. Rookie Fred Davis was an interesting 2nd-round pick considering Cooley’s presence. He likely won’t get enough balls thrown his way to make a fantasy impact.
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