Overall Fantasy Impact: Average

Offensive Outlook: With an overpowering running attack and a quarterback who minimized mistakes, the Jaguars offense kicked into another gear last season, finishing 7th in yards and 6th in points. The offseason changes were minimal, with a change at back-up quarterback and a slight shuffling of the deck at receiver the only significant moves.

The problem with the Jags for fantasy purposes is that they don’t have any offensive superstars carrying the whole load. The receiving corps is completly up for grabs, and their top two running backs split the load, keeping their value down. As a result, it’s hard to get overexcited about any individual Jaguar despite the good team numbers.

QUARTERBACKS: It took a few years, but Jack Del Rio finally realized that David Garrard was the guy for the job. He responded with an excellent season and a gutty playoff effort. As for his fantasy numbers, they weren’t half-bad either. He threw at least one TD in all but one of his starts and he finished particularly strong with 9 TD passes in his last 4 games. The team’s reliance on the run and lack of top-notch receivers likely keeps Garrard’s fantasy status at a back-up level, but he’d be a great back-up to have.

Cleo Lemon got valuable experience in Miami last year and performed admirably in a tough situation. He’d probably provide numbers similar to Garrard’s if he has to play.

RUNNING BACKS: The tandem of Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew is a luxury for Del Rio but a bit of a headache to fantasy owners trying to figure out which one they should go for on draft day. Jones-Drew is the safer play based on Taylor’s age (32) and injury history (although he played in 15 games for the second straight season.) MJD’s numbers all dropped considerably from his stellar rookie season, but he still outscored Taylor, 9 TDs to 5.

But Taylor will still probably get more carries, and he seems to be getting better with age. His 5.4 yards per carry was a career-high for the second straight year, and he rewarded patient owners by catching fire down the stretch with 5 straight 100-yard performances. I would go with Jones-Drew as a third-round pick and Taylor in Round 4 or 5, but both should be considered a No.2 fantasy back no matter where they’re drafted.

WIDE RECEIVERS/TIGHT ENDS: The top 5 guys on the depth chart all have a legitimate shot at being the team’s top statistical receiver this year, but that doesn’t mean that any of them should be high on your receiver list. If forced to pick a no.1 guy out of this bunch, I’d go with Jerry Porter. Arriving from a bad situation in Oakland, he probably has the most all-around talent of anyone in this group. But temper those expectations: For all that supposed talent, he never has had a 1,000-yard season.

Reggie Williams was the guy to have last year, but 10 TDs in 38 catches after just 5 in his first three seasons seems more like a statistical anomaly that the promise of things to come. Dennis Northcutt is a possession-type who is a safe bet for about 40 or 50 catches with little punch. Just when everyone had given up on Matt Jones, he caught 3 TDs in his last 4 games and added one in the postseason. He’s still too much of a risk for a high pick, but he might have the biggest potential to surprise in this bunch. And then there’s Troy Williamson, a first-round bust in Minnesota who’s hoping a change of scenery gets him going, but don’t expect much. As a matter of fact, you should steer clear of any of these guys until the second half of your draft.

Marcedes Lewis made nice improvement from his rookie season to his second year, but he’s no better than a No. 2 fantasy tight end.